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Andrew
B. Kairalla MD, Editor
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Risk of Stillbirth
Previous Preterm and Small-for-Gestational-Age Births and the Subsequent Risk of Stillbirth. Surkan PJ, Stephansson O, Dickman PW, et al. New Engl J Med (Feb 19, 2004); 350:777-785.
Background
Some causes of stillbirth may also lead to fetuses that are small for
gestational age (have a low birth weight with respect to their
gestational age) or are delivered preterm (before 37 weeks of
gestation). It is not known whether the birth of a previous
small-for-gestational-age or preterm infant increases the subsequent
risk of stillbirth.
Methods We assessed the associations between previous
adverse outcomes of pregnancy and the risk of stillbirth in a
nationwide Swedish study of 410,021 women who delivered first and
second consecutive singleton infants between 1983 and 1997. There
were 1842 and 1062 stillbirths during the first and second
pregnancies, respectively.
Results As compared with women whose first infant was born
at term (37 weeks of gestation or more) and was not small for
gestational age, women whose first infant was born at term or preterm
and was small for gestational age had an increased risk of stillbirth
during their second pregnancy. The odds ratios for subsequent
stillbirth, after adjustment for covariates known to be associated
with an increased risk of stillbirth, were 2.1 (95 percent confidence
interval, 1.6 to 2.8) among women with a first infant who was born at
term and was small for gestational age, 3.4 (95 percent confidence
interval, 2.1 to 5.6) among women with a first infant who was
moderately (32 to 36 weeks of gestation) preterm and small for
gestational age, and 5.0 (95 percent confidence interval, 2.5 to 9.8)
among women with a first infant who was very (before 32 weeks of
gestation) preterm and was small for gestational age. The odds ratio
for subsequent stillbirth among women with a first stillborn infant
was 2.5 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.4 to 4.7), as compared
with women whose first infant was not stillborn. The rates of
stillbirth in second pregnancies ranged from 2.4 per 1000 births
among women whose first infant was born at term and was not small for
gestational age to 19.0 per 1000 births among women whose first child
was very preterm and was small for gestational age.
Conclusions Delivery of a previous small-for-gestational-age
infant is an important predictor of the subsequent risk of stillbirth,
particularly if the infant was delivered preterm.
Comments. In the worst case scenario, let’s say that your first baby was small for gestational age and very premature (<32 weeks). This study tells us that your next baby would be 5 times more likely to be stillborn as compared with women whose previous infant was term and appropriately grown. This sounds bad until you consider that your rate for a subsequent stillbirth in this high-risk population is only 19 per 1000 births. If my math is correct, you would still have a > 98% chance that your next baby will be born alive. I’d take those odds. ABK.
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